The "traditional" likely voter model, which Gallup has employed for past elections, factors in prior voting behavior as well as current voting intention. This has generally shown a closer contest, reflecting the fact that Republicans have typically been more likely to vote than Democrats in previous elections.
We're screwed if EITHER of them gets in office.
Of course attack ads work! And gas prices are dropping, as they tend to do right before an election, which aides the incumbent party. Anyone who thought/thinks that Obama can easily win the 2008 presidential election is a fool. This has been and continues to be an exciting race!
It's so much easier to throw up your hands and declare everyone a scoundrel than to make a difficult decision between two imperfect candidates. They're different, and the choice has tradeoffs. As a grown up, you ought to put in the effort to distinguishing between them.
"Cynicism is not realistic and tough. It's unrealistic and kind of cowardly because it means you don't have to try."
So you suggest the position should remain vacant? I love third parties as much as you (well, I don't love Ralph Nadar but that's another story,) but the fact is that this time around, one of the two big parties is getting into the white house. Notice I didn't name the candidates specifically. That's because a lot can still occur between now and January 20th
who gets in? that's not out decision, its Joe the plumber's decisionWe're screwed if EITHER of them gets in office.
who gets in? that's not out decision, its Joe the plumber's decision