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2008 Elections: State Breakdown

One aspect of Arkansas I have forgotten about until this week is that it is the headquarters of the KKK. While Arkansas routinely votes Democrats into office, will they vote for a black man?

Here are my most current updates to my initial posts:

Arkansas: from leaning Obama to leaning McCain -- no new polls, but that whole KKK thing
Colorado: from leaning McCain to leaning Obama
Indiana: from leaning McCain to solid McCain
Minnesota: from leaning Obama to solid Obama
Nevada: from toss-up to leaning Obama
New Hampshire: from leaning Obama to solid Obama
New Mexico: from leaning Obama to solid Obama
North Carolina: from leaning McCain to toss-up
North Dakota: from leaning McCain to solid McCain
Ohio: from toss-up to solid Obama
Oregon: from leaning Obama to solid Obama
Tennessee: from solid McCain to leaning McCain

Ultimately, Obama needs neither Ohio nor Florida to win, but this is still very close. If McCain were to win in Ohio, Florida, Virginia, North Carolina, and Colorado, and Obama were to win Nevada, we could see an electoral tie. What is essentially going on is that Obama has 264 certain electoral votes, so as long as he gets those other six from somewhere, anywhere, he will win the election. If just one uncertain state goes to him he will win.

Question: Will the growing prevalence of absentee ballots eventually render election night concessions a thing of the past?
 
Gonad said:
One aspect of Arkansas I have forgotten about until this week is that it is the headquarters of the KKK. While Arkansas routinely votes Democrats into office, will they vote for a black man?
Click to expand...
White People Confound GOP By Only Hating Mexicans

Here are my most current updates to my initial posts:
Ohio: from toss-up to solid Obama
Click to expand...
Looking at the sampling of popular votes, I would call Florida for Obama before Ohio.

Question: Will the growing prevalence of absentee ballots eventually render election night concessions a thing of the past?
Click to expand...
Only if this trend of a polarized nation voting near 50-50 continues. Hopefully this election will break that trend and Obama will win by a healthy-enough electoral margin for all the lawyers to stay at home that night.
 
Okay, as of today, here are my most current updates to my initial posts:

Florida -- from leaning McCain to solid McCain (you were right, Cassie)
Montana -- from leaning McCain to solid McCain
Nevada -- from toss-up to solid Obama
North Carolina -- from leaning McCain to leaning Obama
Tennessee -- I've gone back to my original solid McCain estimation.

If voting were today, Obama would win. His lead now appears to be solid.
 
OMG I need to get my last predictions in before it is too late:

McCain will definitely win: _____ Obama will definitely win:
AL AK AZ GA _________________ CA CO CT DE
ID IN KS LA ________________ HI IL IA ME
MS MO MT NE ________________ MD MA MI MN
ND OK SC SD ________________ NV NH NJ NM
TN TX UT WY ________________ NY NC OK OR
_______________________)____ PA RI VT WA
___________________________ WI DC

McCain will probably win:
AR FL KY VA
WV
 
Okay, now McCain is leading in KY. 19% reporting in and he has a 16% lead so far.
 
Switzerland Co., IN McCain won by 8% -- by 302 votes
Warren Co., IN McCain by 10% -- by 411 votes
 
KY - Bath Co. McCain won by 0% -- by 24 votes
Breathitt Co. McCain by 9% -- by 466 votes
Franklin Co. McCain by 0% -- by 144 votes
Marion Co. McCain by 3% -- 212 votes
Menifee Co. Obama by 5% -- 121 votes
Nicholas Co. McCain by 8%-- 362 votes
Robertson Co. McCain by 9% -- 82 votes
Rowan Co. Obama by 2% -- 167 votes
Wolfe Co. Obama by 3% -- 85 votes
 
VA
Bath Co. McCain by 13% -- 306 votes
King and Queen Co. Obama by 4% -- 154 votes
 
IN

Blackford Co. McCain wins by 0% -- 13 votes
Crawford Co. McCain wins by 2% -- 107 votes
 
KY

Carroll Co. McCain wins by 8% -- 316 votes
Casy Co. McCain gets 78%
Clay Co. McCain gets 78%
Green Co. McCain gets 75%
Jackson Co. McCain gets 84%
Knot Co. McCain wins by 8% -- 458 votes
Laurel Co. McCain gets 78%
Leslie Co. McCain gets 81%
Magoffin Co. McCain wins by 7% -- 329 votes
McCracken Co. McCain wins by 4% -- 275 votes
Owsley Co. McCain gets 76%
 
GA

Berrien Co. McCain wins 76%
Clay Co. Obama wins by 22% -- 321 votes
Echols Co. McCain wins 83%
 
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